Asti vs Sestri Levante: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Vincenzo Cesin Bosia, Asti
The Footlab AI model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Asti. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sestri Levante wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asti vs Sestri Levante?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Asti (1,664) and Sestri Levante (1,712).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Asti vs Sestri Levante
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Asti
Not enough data to predict the Asti lineup.
Sestri Levante
Not enough data to predict the Sestri Levante lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asti have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sestri Levante have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lascaris(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Millesimo(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alessandria(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Valenzana(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Imperia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celle Varazze(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Borgosesia(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lascaris(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Asti win, 2 draws, 3 Sestri Levante wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sestri Levante 2-0 Asti | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sestri Levante 1-2 Asti | Serie D - Girone A |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Asti 0-0 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Sestri Levante 2-0 Asti | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Asti 1-2 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Sestri Levante 1-1 Asti | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Sestri Levante vs Asti on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Asti score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sestri Levante score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asti | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Sestri Levante | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Asti sit 5th in Serie D - Girone A (10 points from 6 matches) and Sestri Levante sit 14th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Asti | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 14 | Sestri Levante | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Asti vs Sestri Levante?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asti vs Sestri Levante?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Asti.
- Where and when is Asti vs Sestri Levante played?
- Asti vs Sestri Levante is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vincenzo Cesin Bosia, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.