Asti vs Sestri Levante: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Vincenzo Cesin Bosia, Asti
The Footlab model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Asti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asti vs Sestri Levante?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Asti (1,682) and Sestri Levante (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asti have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sestri Levante have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cairese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | Club Milano(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ligorna(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Saluzzo(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sampdoria U20(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Genoa U20(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Sanremese(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Celle Varazze(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Asti(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Asti win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Sestri Levante win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sestri Levante 1-2 Asti | Serie D - Girone A |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Asti 0-0 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Sestri Levante 2-0 Asti | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Asti 1-2 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Sestri Levante 1-1 Asti | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Asti 0-1 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Sestri Levante vs Asti on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Asti score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sestri Levante score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asti | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Sestri Levante | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Asti sit 16th in Serie D - Girone A (35 points from 34 matches) and Sestri Levante sit 6th (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sestri Levante | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 34 | 54 |
| 16 | Asti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 42 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asti vs Sestri Levante?
- The Footlab model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Asti.
- Where and when is Asti vs Sestri Levante played?
- Asti vs Sestri Levante is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vincenzo Cesin Bosia, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.