Derthona vs Celle Varazze: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Fausto Coppi, Tortona
The Footlab AI model makes Derthona the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Celle Varazze. The most likely score is 1-1. If Derthona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Derthona vs Celle Varazze?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Derthona (1,579) and Celle Varazze (1,579).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Derthona vs Celle Varazze
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Derthona
Not enough data to predict the Derthona lineup.
Celle Varazze
Not enough data to predict the Celle Varazze lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derthona have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Celle Varazze have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Chisola(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alessandria(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Millesimo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ligorna(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Bra(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ligorna(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Derthona wins, 0 draws, 1 Celle Varazze win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celle Varazze 0-1 Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Derthona 0-3 Celle Varazze | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Celle Varazze 0-2 Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Celle Varazze vs Derthona on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Derthona score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Celle Varazze score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derthona | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Celle Varazze | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derthona sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone A (11 points from 6 matches) and Celle Varazze sit 18th (0 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Derthona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 18 | Celle Varazze | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
A question about Derthona vs Celle Varazze?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Derthona vs Celle Varazze?
- The Footlab AI model makes Derthona the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Celle Varazze.
- Where and when is Derthona vs Celle Varazze played?
- Derthona vs Celle Varazze is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Fausto Coppi, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.