Progresul Mogosoaia vs Omega Sport: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Mogosoaia the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Omega Sport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progresul Mogosoaia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,831 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Mogosoaia vs Omega Sport?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Progresul Mogosoaia (1,524) and Omega Sport (1,587).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progresul Mogosoaia vs Omega Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progresul Mogosoaia
Not enough data to predict the Progresul Mogosoaia lineup.
Omega Sport
Not enough data to predict the Omega Sport lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 12:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Mogosoaia have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Omega Sport have 7, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Oxigen Bucuresti(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | FCSB II(away) | 2-5 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | LPS HD Clinceni(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cetatea(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Voluntari II(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FCSB II(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Progresul Mogosoaia wins, 0 draws, 1 Omega Sport win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Omega Sport 1-0 Progresul Mogosoaia | Liga III - Serie 5 |
Last archived meeting: Omega Sport vs Progresul Mogosoaia on Sep 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Mogosoaia score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Omega Sport score 1.4 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Mogosoaia | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Omega Sport | 1.4 | 0.6 | 4 | 6/10 | 3/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresul Mogosoaia sit 7th in Liga III - Serie 5 (9 points from 7 matches) and Omega Sport sit 1st (17 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omega Sport | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 17 |
| 7 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Progresul Mogosoaia vs Omega Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Mogosoaia vs Omega Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Mogosoaia the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Omega Sport.
- Where and when is Progresul Mogosoaia vs Omega Sport played?
- Progresul Mogosoaia vs Omega Sport is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.