Alexandria vs LPS HD Clinceni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal 2, Clinceni
The Footlab model makes Alexandria the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for LPS HD Clinceni. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alexandria vs LPS HD Clinceni?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Alexandria (1,429) and LPS HD Clinceni (1,457).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alexandria have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; LPS HD Clinceni have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | CSL Nanov(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 8, 2026 | Filiaşi(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 1, 2026 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(away) | 0-6 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 2, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Alexandria win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 LPS HD Clinceni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | Alexandria 2-1 LPS HD Clinceni | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | LPS HD Clinceni 2-1 Alexandria | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | LPS HD Clinceni 1-0 Alexandria | Cupa României |
| Nov 15, 2024 | LPS HD Clinceni 0-3 Alexandria | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Alexandria 5-0 LPS HD Clinceni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Alexandria vs LPS HD Clinceni on Nov 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Alexandria score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; LPS HD Clinceni score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandria | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| LPS HD Clinceni | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alexandria sit 2nd in Liga III - Serie 5 (43 points from 6 matches) and LPS HD Clinceni sit 4th (39 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Alexandria | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | LPS HD Clinceni | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 19 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alexandria vs LPS HD Clinceni?
- The Footlab model makes Alexandria the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for LPS HD Clinceni.
- Where and when is Alexandria vs LPS HD Clinceni played?
- Alexandria vs LPS HD Clinceni is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal 2, in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.