Progresul Spartac vs Cetatea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Progresul Spartac, București
The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Spartac the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Cetatea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progresul Spartac wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Spartac vs Cetatea?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Progresul Spartac (1,511) and Cetatea (1,576).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progresul Spartac vs Cetatea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progresul Spartac
4-3-3- AA. Florescu
- MM. Andrei
- AA. Chirițoiu
- EE. Pacionel
- AA. Crivac
- GG. Petcu
- DD. Parfeon
- 16V. Calea
- RR. Răducioiu
- SS. Radu
- DD. Paraschiv
Cetatea
Not enough data to predict the Cetatea lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 02:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Spartac have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Cetatea have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Voluntari II(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FCSB II(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Omega Sport(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Oxigen Bucuresti(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | LPS HD Clinceni(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 3-3 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(away) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Voluntari II(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Progresul Spartac win, 1 draw, 2 Cetatea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Cetatea 6-2 Progresul Spartac | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Progresul Spartac 1-2 Cetatea | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Progresul Spartac 2-2 Cetatea | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Cetatea 2-3 Progresul Spartac | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Cetatea vs Progresul Spartac on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Spartac score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cetatea score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Spartac | 2.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Cetatea | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresul Spartac sit 10th in Liga III - Serie 5 (6 points from 7 matches) and Cetatea sit 6th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cetatea | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Progresul Spartac | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Progresul Spartac vs Cetatea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Spartac vs Cetatea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Spartac the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Cetatea.
- Where and when is Progresul Spartac vs Cetatea played?
- Progresul Spartac vs Cetatea is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Progresul Spartac, in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.