Match

Progresul Spartac vs Alexandria: prediction and stats

Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 13Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Progresul Spartac, București

Progresul SpartacAlexandria

The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Spartac the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Alexandria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progresul Spartac wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Progresul Spartac vs Alexandria?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Progresul Spartac (1,511) and Alexandria (1,560).

40%26%34%
Progresul Spartac winDrawAlexandria win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Progresul Spartac vs Alexandria

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Progresul Spartac

4-3-3
  1. AA. Florescu
  2. MM. Andrei
  3. AA. Chirițoiu
  1. EE. Pacionel
  2. AA. Crivac
  3. GG. Petcu
  1. DD. Parfeon
  2. 16V. Calea
  3. RR. Răducioiu
  4. SS. Radu
  1. DD. Paraschiv

Alexandria

4-3-3
  1. CC. Cocoș
  2. SS. Iakabfi
  3. BB. Yaméogo
  1. MM. Răducan
  2. VV. Danale
  3. VV. Constantin
  1. VV. Georgescu
  2. AA. Bobaru
  3. PPetruș Pintilie
  4. GG. Nedelea
  1. II. Pletea

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:47 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Spartac have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Alexandria have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Progresul Spartac
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Voluntari II(home)1-2Liga III - Serie 5
Oct 2, 2026Axi Adunații-Copăceni(away)1-2Liga III - Serie 5
Sep 26, 2026FCSB II(home)2-1Liga III - Serie 5
Sep 23, 2026Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away)0-1Liga III - Serie 5
Sep 19, 2026Omega Sport(home)0-1Liga III - Serie 5
Alexandria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Dinamo Bucureşti II(home)1-0Liga III - Serie 5
Oct 2, 2026Voluntari II(away)2-0Liga III - Serie 5
Sep 25, 2026Axi Adunații-Copăceni(home)2-0Liga III - Serie 5
Sep 22, 2026FCSB II(away)3-1Liga III - Serie 5
Sep 18, 2026Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(home)2-2Liga III - Serie 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Progresul Spartac wins, 0 draws, 4 Alexandria wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 4, 2026Alexandria 1-0 Progresul SpartacLiga III - Serie 5
Apr 18, 2026Progresul Spartac 2-3 AlexandriaLiga III - Serie 5
Dec 5, 2025Alexandria 3-0 Progresul SpartacLiga III - Serie 5
Sep 23, 2025Progresul Spartac 0-1 AlexandriaLiga III - Serie 5
May 9, 2025Alexandria 0-2 Progresul SpartacLiga III - Serie 4
Apr 18, 2025Progresul Spartac 3-1 AlexandriaLiga III - Serie 4

Last archived meeting: Alexandria vs Progresul Spartac on Sep 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Progresul Spartac score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Alexandria score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Progresul Spartac2.31.4210/1511/15
Alexandria1.41.256/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Progresul Spartac sit 10th in Liga III - Serie 5 (6 points from 7 matches) and Alexandria sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Alexandria742112614
10Progresul Spartac7205996

A question about Progresul Spartac vs Alexandria?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Progresul Spartac vs Alexandria?
The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Spartac the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Alexandria.
Where and when is Progresul Spartac vs Alexandria played?
Progresul Spartac vs Alexandria is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Progresul Spartac, in the Liga III - Serie 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Progresul Spartac and Alexandria

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