Where and when is Alfreton Town vs Leek Town played?

Alfreton Town vs Leek Town is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Impact Arena, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alfreton Town vs Leek Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire

Alfreton Town

Leek Town

The Footlab model makes Alfreton Town the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Leek Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alfreton Town vs Leek Town?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Alfreton Town (1,717) and Leek Town (1,777).

Alfreton Town win36 %

Draw28 %

Leek Town win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alfreton Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Leek Town have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alfreton Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Hyde United(home)	4-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Stockton Town(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Cleethorpes Town(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Avro(home)	3-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Gainsborough Trinity(home)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern

Leek Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bamber Bridge(home)	4-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	AFC Emley(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Stockton Town(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	United of Manchester(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Whitby Town(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern

How many goals should we expect?

Alfreton Town score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alfreton Town	1.3	1.8	3	6/15	10/15
Leek Town	1.5	1.0	5	9/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alfreton Town sit 9th in Non League Premier - Northern (9 points from 6 matches) and Leek Town sit 18th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Alfreton Town	6	3	0	3	10	6	9
18	Leek Town	5	1	2	2	8	7	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alfreton Town vs Leek Town?: The Footlab model makes Alfreton Town the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Leek Town.
Where and when is Alfreton Town vs Leek Town played?: Alfreton Town vs Leek Town is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Impact Arena, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.