Avro vs Alfreton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vestacare Stadium, Oldham, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Avro the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Alfreton Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avro wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,202 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avro vs Alfreton Town?
Avro starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,814).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avro vs Alfreton Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avro
Not enough data to predict the Avro lineup.
Alfreton Town
Not enough data to predict the Alfreton Town lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 05:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avro have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Alfreton Town have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 5-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bury(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Avro wins, 0 draws, 1 Alfreton Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alfreton Town 3-0 Avro | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Alfreton Town vs Avro on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avro score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Alfreton Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avro | 2.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Alfreton Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avro sit 5th in Non League Premier - Northern (28 points from 14 matches) and Alfreton Town sit 10th (20 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 27 | 28 |
| 10 | Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 17 | 20 |
A question about Avro vs Alfreton Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avro vs Alfreton Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avro the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Alfreton Town.
- Where and when is Avro vs Alfreton Town played?
- Avro vs Alfreton Town is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vestacare Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jan 16, 2027Ilkeston TownvsWhitby Town
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- Jan 16, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsWarrington Town
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