Where and when is Avro vs Alfreton Town played?

Avro vs Alfreton Town is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vestacare Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Avro vs Alfreton Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vestacare Stadium, Oldham, Greater Manchester

Avro

Alfreton Town

The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Alfreton Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Avro vs Alfreton Town?

Avro starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,717).

Avro win56 %

Draw25 %

Alfreton Town win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avro have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Alfreton Town have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Avro
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hyde United(away)	1-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 19, 2026	Workington(home)	4-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Alfreton Town(away)	0-3	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Bamber Bridge(away)	6-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Quorn(home)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern

Alfreton Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Stockton Town(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Cleethorpes Town(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Avro(home)	3-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Gainsborough Trinity(home)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Curzon Ashton(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Avro win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Alfreton Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Alfreton Town 3-0 Avro	Non League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Alfreton Town vs Avro on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Avro score 3.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alfreton Town score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Avro	3.3	1.3	3	10/15	14/15
Alfreton Town	1.1	1.9	2	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Avro sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Northern (12 points from 5 matches) and Alfreton Town sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Avro	5	4	0	1	13	6	12
11	Alfreton Town	5	2	0	3	6	6	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Avro vs Alfreton Town?: The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Alfreton Town.
Where and when is Avro vs Alfreton Town played?: Avro vs Alfreton Town is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vestacare Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.