Algar vs Cartagena LU II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar
The Footlab model makes Algar the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Cartagena LU II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Algar vs Cartagena LU II?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Algar (1,597) and Cartagena LU II (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Cartagena LU II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2024 | Plus Ultra(home) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 5, 2024 | Bullense(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 1, 2024 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Cieza(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | El Palmar(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Santomera(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | UD Caravaca(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
Algar score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cartagena LU II score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algar | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Cartagena LU II | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cartagena LU II | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 39 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Algar vs Cartagena LU II?
- The Footlab model makes Algar the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Cartagena LU II.
- Where and when is Algar vs Cartagena LU II played?
- Algar vs Cartagena LU II is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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