Where and when is Santomera vs Atlético Pulpileño played?

Santomera vs Atlético Pulpileño is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Santomera vs Atlético Pulpileño: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera

Santomera

Atlético Pulpileño

The Footlab model makes Atlético Pulpileño the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Santomera. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santomera vs Atlético Pulpileño?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Santomera (1,687) and Atlético Pulpileño (1,784).

Santomera win31 %

Draw29 %

Atlético Pulpileño win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Atlético Pulpileño have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santomera
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cieza(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Olímpico Totana(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Cartagena LU II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026	Real Murcia II(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Yeclano II(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Atlético Pulpileño
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Mazarrón FC(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	El Palmar(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Balsicas Atlético(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Unión Molinense(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Santa Cruz(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Santomera win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Atlético Pulpileño win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	Santomera 0-2 Atlético Pulpileño	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 22, 2025	Atlético Pulpileño 3-2 Santomera	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Jun 8, 2025	Santomera 0-1 Atlético Pulpileño	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
May 31, 2025	Atlético Pulpileño 0-0 Santomera	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Mar 8, 2025	Atlético Pulpileño 0-1 Santomera	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 27, 2024	Santomera 0-0 Atlético Pulpileño	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Santomera vs Atlético Pulpileño on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Santomera score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Pulpileño score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Santomera	1.1	2.1	1	8/15	10/15
Atlético Pulpileño	0.9	0.8	8	5/15	2/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Santomera sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (32 points from 34 matches) and Atlético Pulpileño sit 9th (50 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Atlético Pulpileño	34	13	11	10	30	29	50
15	Santomera	34	8	8	18	38	64	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santomera vs Atlético Pulpileño?: The Footlab model makes Atlético Pulpileño the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Santomera.
Where and when is Santomera vs Atlético Pulpileño played?: Santomera vs Atlético Pulpileño is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.