Match

Cartagena LU II vs Algar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Escuela de Fútbol Ciudad Jardín, Cartagena

Cartagena LU IIAlgar

The Footlab model makes Cartagena LU II the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cartagena LU II vs Algar?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Cartagena LU II (1,687) and Algar (1,594).

Cartagena LU II win45 %
Draw28 %
Algar win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cartagena LU II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Algar have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cartagena LU II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Deportiva Minera(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Santa Cruz(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026Santomera(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026UD Caravaca(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026Cieza(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Algar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2024Plus Ultra(home)4-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 5, 2024Bullense(away)0-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 1, 2024Alcantarilla(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2024Cieza(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 21, 2024El Palmar(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

How many goals should we expect?

Cartagena LU II score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Algar score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cartagena LU II0.91.246/155/15
Algar1.12.328/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Cartagena LU II3491114403938

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cartagena LU II vs Algar?
The Footlab model makes Cartagena LU II the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Algar.
Where and when is Cartagena LU II vs Algar played?
Cartagena LU II vs Algar is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Escuela de Fútbol Ciudad Jardín, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cartagena LU II and Algar

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