Where and when is Bala Azul vs El Palmar played?

Bala Azul vs El Palmar is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bala Azul vs El Palmar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón

Bala Azul

El Palmar

The Footlab model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bala Azul vs El Palmar?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Bala Azul (1,737) and El Palmar (1,643).

Bala Azul win52 %

Draw27 %

El Palmar win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; El Palmar have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bala Azul
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	UD Caravaca(home)	2-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Cieza(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Muleño(home)	3-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Olímpico Totana(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Cartagena LU II(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

El Palmar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	SFC Minerva(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Atlético Pulpileño(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026	Águilas II(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	UCAM Murcia II(home)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Mazarrón FC(away)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bala Azul win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 El Palmar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 15, 2026	El Palmar 1-2 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 5, 2025	Bala Azul 1-1 El Palmar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Feb 2, 2025	Bala Azul 1-0 El Palmar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 22, 2024	El Palmar 0-0 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Jan 9, 2022	Bala Azul 0-2 El Palmar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 5, 2021	El Palmar 3-1 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: El Palmar vs Bala Azul on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; El Palmar score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bala Azul	1.5	1.3	6	9/15	8/15
El Palmar	0.8	1.7	5	6/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bala Azul sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (38 points from 34 matches) and El Palmar sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Bala Azul	34	7	17	10	36	36	38
14	El Palmar	34	8	8	18	27	48	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs El Palmar?: The Footlab model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for El Palmar.
Where and when is Bala Azul vs El Palmar played?: Bala Azul vs El Palmar is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.