Bala Azul vs El Palmar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón
The Footlab AI model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bala Azul wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,603 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Azul vs El Palmar?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Bala Azul (1,736) and El Palmar (1,657).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bala Azul vs El Palmar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bala Azul
Not enough data to predict the Bala Azul lineup.
El Palmar
Not enough data to predict the El Palmar lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; El Palmar have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bala Azul wins, 2 draws, 2 El Palmar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | El Palmar 1-2 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Bala Azul 1-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Bala Azul 1-0 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | El Palmar 0-0 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 9, 2022 | Bala Azul 0-2 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 5, 2021 | El Palmar 3-1 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: El Palmar vs Bala Azul on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; El Palmar score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Azul | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| El Palmar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bala Azul | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
A question about Bala Azul vs El Palmar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs El Palmar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for El Palmar.
- Where and when is Bala Azul vs El Palmar played?
- Bala Azul vs El Palmar is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027Los GarresvsSan Javier
- Feb 14, 2027SFC MinervavsMazarrón FC
- Feb 14, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsOlímpico Totana
- Feb 14, 2027Unión MolinensevsÁguilas II
- Feb 14, 2027AlgarvsCartagena LU II
- Feb 14, 2027SantomeravsAtlético Pulpileño
- Feb 14, 2027Santa CruzvsAlcantarilla
- Feb 14, 2027Bullas DeportivovsBalsicas Atlético