Algar vs Santomera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar
The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Algar vs Santomera?
Santomera starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,752 vs 1,567).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Algar vs Santomera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Algar
4-3-3- AAdrian Marty
- AAlejandro Martin
- NNasta
- MMichel Vidal
- MManuel Rodriguez
- SSergio Jiménez
- CChiqui
- LLázaro Rubio Nicolás
- DDani Ruiz
- JJuan Gavilánez
- GGuillermo Yepes Moreno
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; Santomera have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santomera(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Algar wins, 0 draws, 1 Santomera win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santomera 2-0 Algar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
Algar score 0.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algar | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Algar sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (3 points from 6 matches) and Santomera sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 17 | Algar | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Algar vs Santomera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Algar vs Santomera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Algar.
- Where and when is Algar vs Santomera played?
- Algar vs Santomera is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jan 31, 2027SFC MinervavsSan Javier
- Jan 31, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsCartagena LU II
- Jan 31, 2027Bala AzulvsÁguilas II
- Jan 31, 2027Unión MolinensevsOlímpico Totana
- Jan 31, 2027Santa CruzvsMazarrón FC
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