Match

Bala Azul vs Águilas II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón

Bala AzulÁguilas II

The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bala Azul vs Águilas II?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Bala Azul (1,737) and Águilas II (1,824).

Bala Azul win35 %
Draw28 %
Águilas II win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Águilas II have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bala Azul
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026UD Caravaca(home)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026Cieza(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026Muleño(home)3-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Olímpico Totana(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026Cartagena LU II(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Águilas II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026UCAM Murcia II(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026Mazarrón FC(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026El Palmar(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Balsicas Atlético(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026Unión Molinense(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Bala Azul win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Águilas II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Bala Azul 0-0 Águilas IITercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 26, 2025Águilas II 2-0 Bala AzulTercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2025Águilas II 2-1 Bala AzulTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Jan 12, 2025Bala Azul 0-2 Águilas IITercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Bala Azul vs Águilas II on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas II score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bala Azul1.51.369/158/15
Águilas II1.60.977/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bala Azul sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (38 points from 34 matches) and Águilas II sit 7th (52 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Águilas II34141010474252
11Bala Azul3471710363638

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs Águilas II?
The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Bala Azul.
Where and when is Bala Azul vs Águilas II played?
Bala Azul vs Águilas II is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bala Azul and Águilas II

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