Los Garres vs Balsicas Atlético: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Tejeras, Murcia
The Footlab model makes Los Garres the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Balsicas Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Garres vs Balsicas Atlético?
Balsicas Atlético starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Garres have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Balsicas Atlético have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Elche(home) | 0-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Manises(home) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Manises(away) | 0-2 | Copa del Rey |
| May 1, 2022 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 22, 2022 | UD Caravaca(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Balsicas Atlético score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Garres | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Balsicas Atlético | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Balsicas Atlético | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Garres vs Balsicas Atlético?
- The Footlab model makes Los Garres the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Balsicas Atlético.
- Where and when is Los Garres vs Balsicas Atlético played?
- Los Garres vs Balsicas Atlético is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Tejeras, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 31, 2027El PalmarvsAlcantarilla
- Jan 31, 2027SFC MinervavsSan Javier
- Jan 31, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsCartagena LU II
- Jan 31, 2027Bala AzulvsÁguilas II
- Jan 31, 2027Unión MolinensevsOlímpico Totana
- Jan 31, 2027AlgarvsSantomera
- Jan 31, 2027Santa CruzvsMazarrón FC
- Jan 31, 2027Bullas DeportivovsAtlético Pulpileño