Match

El Palmar vs Alcantarilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, El Palmar

El PalmarAlcantarilla

The Footlab AI model makes El Palmar the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Alcantarilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If El Palmar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,665 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win El Palmar vs Alcantarilla?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate El Palmar (1,677) and Alcantarilla (1,642).

35%30%35%
El Palmar winDrawAlcantarilla win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for El Palmar vs Alcantarilla

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

El Palmar

Not enough data to predict the El Palmar lineup.

Alcantarilla

4-3-3
  1. 19Bruno Tomás
  2. JJuan López
  3. LLuis Hueva
  1. NNico Varela
  2. GGonzalo Rodríguez
  3. PPedro López
  1. TTekio
  2. MMigue Marín
  3. SSalvi
  4. LLuis Manzanera
  1. 13Antonio Gallego

Computed on October 27, 2026 at 12:18 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Palmar have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Alcantarilla have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

El Palmar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2026Mazarrón FC(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026SFC Minerva(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026Águilas II(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026UCAM Murcia II(home)0-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026UCAM Murcia II(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 10, 2026Unión Molinense(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 4, 2026Santa Cruz(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 27, 2026Bala Azul(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 12, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 El Palmar wins, 3 draws, 0 Alcantarilla wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 26, 2025El Palmar 1-1 AlcantarillaTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 14, 2024Alcantarilla 0-4 El PalmarTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Mar 31, 2024El Palmar 0-0 AlcantarillaTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 11, 2023Alcantarilla 2-3 El PalmarTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 1, 2023El Palmar 2-1 AlcantarillaTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Dec 4, 2022Alcantarilla 1-1 El PalmarTercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: El Palmar vs Alcantarilla on Jan 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

El Palmar score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alcantarilla score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
El Palmar0.91.757/1510/15
Alcantarilla0.71.376/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Alcantarilla7232679

A question about El Palmar vs Alcantarilla?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for El Palmar vs Alcantarilla?
The Footlab AI model makes El Palmar the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Alcantarilla.
Where and when is El Palmar vs Alcantarilla played?
El Palmar vs Alcantarilla is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: El Palmar and Alcantarilla

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