El Palmar vs Alcantarilla: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, El Palmar
The Footlab AI model makes El Palmar the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Alcantarilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If El Palmar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,673 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Palmar vs Alcantarilla?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate El Palmar (1,677) and Alcantarilla (1,642).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for El Palmar vs Alcantarilla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
El Palmar
Not enough data to predict the El Palmar lineup.
Alcantarilla
4-3-3- 19Bruno Tomás
- JJuan López
- LLuis Hueva
- NNico Varela
- GGonzalo Rodríguez
- PPedro López
- TTekio
- MMigue Marín
- SSalvi
- LLuis Manzanera
- 13Antonio Gallego
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 12:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Palmar have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Alcantarilla have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bala Azul(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 El Palmar wins, 3 draws, 0 Alcantarilla wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | El Palmar 1-1 Alcantarilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Alcantarilla 0-4 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 31, 2024 | El Palmar 0-0 Alcantarilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Alcantarilla 2-3 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | El Palmar 2-1 Alcantarilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Alcantarilla 1-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: El Palmar vs Alcantarilla on Jan 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
El Palmar score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alcantarilla score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Palmar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Alcantarilla | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Alcantarilla | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
A question about El Palmar vs Alcantarilla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Palmar vs Alcantarilla?
- The Footlab AI model makes El Palmar the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Alcantarilla.
- Where and when is El Palmar vs Alcantarilla played?
- El Palmar vs Alcantarilla is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 31, 2027Los GarresvsBalsicas Atlético
- Jan 31, 2027SFC MinervavsSan Javier
- Jan 31, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsCartagena LU II
- Jan 31, 2027Bala AzulvsÁguilas II
- Jan 31, 2027Unión MolinensevsOlímpico Totana
- Jan 31, 2027AlgarvsSantomera
- Jan 31, 2027Santa CruzvsMazarrón FC
- Jan 31, 2027Bullas DeportivovsAtlético Pulpileño