El Palmar vs Alcantarilla: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, El Palmar
The Footlab model makes El Palmar the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Alcantarilla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Palmar vs Alcantarilla?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate El Palmar (1,640) and Alcantarilla (1,591).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Palmar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Alcantarilla have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 4, 2025 | Águilas II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Santomera(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 El Palmar win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Alcantarilla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | El Palmar 1-1 Alcantarilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Alcantarilla 0-4 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 31, 2024 | El Palmar 0-0 Alcantarilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Alcantarilla 2-3 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | El Palmar 2-1 Alcantarilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Alcantarilla 1-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: El Palmar vs Alcantarilla on Jan 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
El Palmar score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alcantarilla score 0.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Palmar | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Alcantarilla | 0.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 48 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Palmar vs Alcantarilla?
- The Footlab model makes El Palmar the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Alcantarilla.
- Where and when is El Palmar vs Alcantarilla played?
- El Palmar vs Alcantarilla is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 31, 2027Los GarresvsBalsicas Atlético
- Jan 31, 2027SFC MinervavsSan Javier
- Jan 31, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsCartagena LU II
- Jan 31, 2027Bala AzulvsÁguilas II
- Jan 31, 2027Unión MolinensevsOlímpico Totana
- Jan 31, 2027AlgarvsSantomera
- Jan 31, 2027Santa CruzvsMazarrón FC
- Jan 31, 2027Bullas DeportivovsAtlético Pulpileño