Algeciras vs Villarreal II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 34Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras
The Footlab model makes Algeciras the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Villarreal II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Algeciras vs Villarreal II?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Algeciras (1,890) and Villarreal II (1,977).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algeciras have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Villarreal II have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Sanluqueño(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 31, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sanluqueño(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Algeciras win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Villarreal II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Villarreal II 4-0 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Algeciras 0-0 Villarreal II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Villarreal II 0-3 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Algeciras 1-1 Villarreal II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Villarreal II 3-0 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 9, 2022 | Algeciras 2-1 Villarreal II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Villarreal II vs Algeciras on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Algeciras score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal II score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algeciras | 0.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Villarreal II | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Algeciras sit 8th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (55 points from 38 matches) and Villarreal II sit 4th (63 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villarreal II | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 54 | 32 | 63 |
| 8 | Algeciras | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 41 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Algeciras vs Villarreal II?
- The Footlab model makes Algeciras the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Villarreal II.
- Where and when is Algeciras vs Villarreal II played?
- Algeciras vs Villarreal II is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.