Real Jaén vs Real Murcia: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 34Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio La Victoria, Jaén
The Footlab AI model makes Real Jaén the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Real Murcia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Jaén wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,528 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Jaén vs Real Murcia?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Real Jaén (2,000) and Real Murcia (1,965).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Jaén vs Real Murcia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Jaén
4-3-3- 11Mario Martos
- 19M. Keita
- 14C. Polo
- 6Jose Alvarez
- 10Paz Adri
- 8Antonio Caballero
- 21Mohamed Sanhaji
- 3D. Serrano
- 17Javi Moyano
- 20Mauro Cabello
- 1J. Morillas
Real Murcia
4-3-3- 23D. Flakus Bosilj
- 17Javi Moreno
- 19Joel Jorquera
- 8Javi Mier
- 14Palmberg
- 10Chema Núñez
- 2Jorge Mier
- 3Cristo
- 6Alberto González
- 4H. Perez
- 13Dani Jiménez
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Jaén have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Real Murcia have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Jaén score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Murcia score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Jaén | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Murcia | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Jaén sit 3rd in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (19 points from 10 matches) and Real Murcia sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Jaén | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Murcia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
A question about Real Jaén vs Real Murcia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Jaén vs Real Murcia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Jaén the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Real Murcia.
- Where and when is Real Jaén vs Real Murcia played?
- Real Jaén vs Real Murcia is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio La Victoria, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.