Rayo Majadahonda vs Gimnastic: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 34Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda
The Footlab model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Gimnastic. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Gimnastic?
Rayo Majadahonda starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,980 vs 1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Majadahonda have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Gimnastic have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Espanyol II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olot(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Rayo Majadahonda win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gimnastic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2024 | Gimnastic 1-0 Rayo Majadahonda | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Rayo Majadahonda 1-1 Gimnastic | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 2, 2019 | Rayo Majadahonda 1-0 Gimnastic | Segunda División |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Gimnastic 0-1 Rayo Majadahonda | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Gimnastic vs Rayo Majadahonda on May 25, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Rayo Majadahonda score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnastic score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Majadahonda | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Gimnastic | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Gimnastic | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 49 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayo Majadahonda vs Gimnastic?
- The Footlab model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Gimnastic.
- Where and when is Rayo Majadahonda vs Gimnastic played?
- Rayo Majadahonda vs Gimnastic is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.