Rayo Majadahonda vs Gimnastic: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 34Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda
The Footlab AI model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Gimnastic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rayo Majadahonda wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,854 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Gimnastic?
On Elo ratings, Rayo Majadahonda has 1,921 points and Gimnastic 1,850.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rayo Majadahonda vs Gimnastic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rayo Majadahonda
4-5-1- 19M. Gonzaga
- 18Tarsi
- 6David del Pozo
- 14Y. Yoshimura
- 15N. Celorio
- 22Rubén Quintanilla
- 4Dani Ramos
- 5D. Gallardo
- 20Sotillos
- 23Juan Durán
- 13Miguel Prieto
Gimnastic
4-3-3- 17Alex Almansa
- 12S. Bakış
- 20C. Segura
- 16M. Babanzila
- 8Marc Montalvo
- 10Eugeni Valderrama
- 23Manel Royo
- 22Joseda
- 5Nico van Rijn
- 4F. Gil
- 1Gaizka Ayesa
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 10:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Majadahonda have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Gimnastic have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Huesca(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 4-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Rayo Majadahonda wins, 1 draw, 1 Gimnastic win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2024 | Gimnastic 1-0 Rayo Majadahonda | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Rayo Majadahonda 1-1 Gimnastic | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 2, 2019 | Rayo Majadahonda 1-0 Gimnastic | Segunda División |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Gimnastic 0-1 Rayo Majadahonda | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Gimnastic vs Rayo Majadahonda on May 25, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Rayo Majadahonda score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnastic score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Majadahonda | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Gimnastic | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rayo Majadahonda sit 17th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (7 points from 11 matches) and Gimnastic sit 12th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Gimnastic | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
| 17 | Rayo Majadahonda | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Rayo Majadahonda vs Gimnastic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayo Majadahonda vs Gimnastic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Gimnastic.
- Where and when is Rayo Majadahonda vs Gimnastic played?
- Rayo Majadahonda vs Gimnastic is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.