Algeria vs Burkina Faso: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on December 28, 2025 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Mohamed-Hamlaoui, Constantine
Full time
What was the result of Algeria vs Burkina Faso?
Algeria won 1-0 on December 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 23′R. MahrezAlgeria (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algeria have 8 wins, 7 draws and 0 defeats; Burkina Faso have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 24, 2025 | Sudan(home) | 3-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 12, 2025 | United Arab Emirates(home) | 1-1 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Iraq(home) | 2-0 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Bahrain(away) | 5-1 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Sudan(home) | 0-0 | Arab Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 24, 2025 | Equatorial Guinea(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Benin(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Niger(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Ethiopia(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Sierra Leone(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Algeria win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Burkina Faso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Algeria 2-2 Burkina Faso | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 16, 2021 | Algeria 2-2 Burkina Faso | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Burkina Faso 1-1 Algeria | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
Last archived meeting: Algeria vs Burkina Faso on Jan 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Algeria score 1.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Burkina Faso score 2.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algeria | 1.8 | 0.5 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Burkina Faso | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Algeria sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations (9 points from 3 matches) and Burkina Faso sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy