Nigeria vs Tunisia: result 3-2 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on December 27, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif de Fès, Fès
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What was the result of Nigeria vs Tunisia?
Nigeria won 3-2 on December 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 44′V. OsimhenNigeria
- 50′W. NdidiNigeria
- 67′A. LookmanNigeria
- 74′M. TalbiTunisia
- 87′A. AbdiTunisia (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nigeria have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Tunisia have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Egypt(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Congo DR(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Gabon(home) | 4-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Benin(home) | 4-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | Uganda(home) | 3-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Qatar(away) | 3-0 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Palestine(away) | 2-2 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Syria(home) | 0-1 | Arab Cup |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Brazil(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Nigeria win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Tunisia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2022 | Nigeria 0-1 Tunisia | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Oct 13, 2020 | Nigeria 1-1 Tunisia | Friendlies |
| Jul 17, 2019 | Tunisia 0-1 Nigeria | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 22, 2016 | Tunisia 1-1 Nigeria | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Nigeria score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tunisia score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Tunisia | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nigeria sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations (9 points from 3 matches) and Tunisia sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy