Morocco vs Mali: result 1-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on December 26, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif de Fès, Fès
Full time
What was the result of Morocco vs Mali?
Morocco and Mali drew 1-1 on December 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 45′Brahim DíazMorocco (pen.)
- 64′L. SinayokoMali (pen.)
Official lineup for Morocco vs Mali
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Morocco
4-1-4-1- 20A. El Kaabi
- 11I. Saibari
- 8A. Ounahi
- 24N. El Aynaoui
- 10Brahim Díaz
- 4S. Amrabat
- 26A. Salah-Eddine
- 5N. Aguerd
- 18J. El Yamiq
- 3N. Mazraoui
- 1Y. Bounou
Mali
- 10Y. Bissouma
- 17L. Sinayoko
- 8M. Doumbia
- 11L. Coulibaly
- 20M. Sangaré
- 23A. Dieng
- 5A. Diaby
- 25O. Camara
- 26W. Coulibaly
- 28N. Gassama
- 16D. Diarra
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morocco have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Mali have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | Comoros(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Jordan(away) | 3-2 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 15, 2025 | United Arab Emirates(home) | 3-0 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Syria(home) | 1-0 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 1-0 | Arab Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | Zambia(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Jordan(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Madagascar(home) | 4-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Chad(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Ghana(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Morocco wins, 1 draw, 0 Mali wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2021 | Mali 0-2 Morocco | African Nations Championship |
| Sep 5, 2017 | Mali 0-0 Morocco | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 1, 2017 | Morocco 6-0 Mali | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Morocco score 2.1 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mali score 1.4 and concede 0.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco | 2.1 | 0.4 | 11 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Mali | 1.4 | 0.3 | 10 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morocco sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations (7 points from 3 matches) and Mali sit 2nd (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
A question about Morocco vs Mali?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy