Uganda vs Tanzania: result 1-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on December 27, 2025 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Hamz Stadium, Kampala
Full time
What was the result of Uganda vs Tanzania?
Uganda and Tanzania drew 1-1 on December 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 59′Simon Happygod MsuvaTanzania (pen.)
- 80′U. IkpeazuUganda
Official lineup for Uganda vs Tanzania
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Uganda
4-4-1-1- 22J. Ssemugabi
- 10T. Mutyaba
- 7R. Mato
- 12B. Alhassan
- 6B. Byaruhanga
- 21A. Okello
- 23A. Kayondo
- 15J. Obita
- 5T. Sibbick
- 4K. Semakula
- 18D. Onyango
Tanzania
4-2-3-1- 21K. John
- 12Simon Happygod Msuva
- 6F. Salum
- 26T. Allarakhia
- 20N. Dismas
- 27A. Msanga
- 15M. Hussein
- 4I. Hamad
- 14B. Mwamnyeto
- 25H. Mnoga
- 28Z. Foba
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uganda have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Tanzania have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | Tunisia(away) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Morocco(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Chad(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Algeria(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Botswana(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | Nigeria(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Kuwait(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Iran(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Zambia(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Niger(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Uganda wins, 0 draws, 3 Tanzania wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2025 | Tanzania 1-0 Uganda | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Tanzania 0-1 Uganda | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Uganda 0-1 Tanzania | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Tanzania 1-0 Uganda | Friendlies |
| Dec 9, 2021 | Tanzania 0-2 Uganda | Friendlies |
| Dec 17, 2019 | Uganda 1-0 Tanzania | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Uganda score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tanzania score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uganda | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Tanzania | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uganda sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations (1 point from 3 matches) and Tanzania sit 3rd (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tanzania | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 4 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
A question about Uganda vs Tanzania?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy