Where and when is Alhaurino vs Arenas Armilla played?

Alhaurino vs Arenas Armilla is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alhaurino vs Arenas Armilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, Alhaurín el Grande

Alhaurino

Arenas Armilla

The Footlab model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Arenas Armilla. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alhaurino vs Arenas Armilla?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Alhaurino (1,702) and Arenas Armilla (1,783).

Alhaurino win40 %

Draw31 %

Arenas Armilla win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alhaurino have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Arenas Armilla have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alhaurino
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Mancha Real(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Arenas Armilla(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Churriana Vega(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Torreperogil(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026	Atlético Porcuna(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Arenas Armilla
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	Peña Deportiva(away)	2-5	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Peña Deportiva(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Motril(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 31, 2026	Motril(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 24, 2026	Torre del Mar(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Alhaurino win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Arenas Armilla win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Arenas Armilla 0-1 Alhaurino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Jan 14, 2026	Alhaurino 0-0 Arenas Armilla	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Arenas Armilla vs Alhaurino on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alhaurino score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Arenas Armilla score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alhaurino	1.2	1.0	5	7/15	6/15
Arenas Armilla	1.1	1.4	3	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alhaurino sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (43 points from 34 matches) and Arenas Armilla sit 4th (54 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Arenas Armilla	34	15	9	10	38	29	54
12	Alhaurino	34	11	10	13	41	41	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alhaurino vs Arenas Armilla?: The Footlab model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Arenas Armilla.
Where and when is Alhaurino vs Arenas Armilla played?: Alhaurino vs Arenas Armilla is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.