Granada II vs Almería II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF, Granada
The Footlab model makes Granada II the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Almería II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granada II vs Almería II?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Granada II (1,721) and Almería II (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada II have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Almería II have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(home) | 4-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 3-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Granada II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Almería II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Almería II 3-1 Granada II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Granada II 1-1 Almería II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Granada II 2-1 Almería II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Almería II vs Granada II on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Granada II score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Almería II score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada II | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Almería II | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Granada II | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granada II vs Almería II?
- The Footlab model makes Granada II the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Almería II.
- Where and when is Granada II vs Almería II played?
- Granada II vs Almería II is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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