Match

Cantoria vs Motril: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

CantoriaMotril

The Footlab model makes Cantoria the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Motril. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cantoria vs Motril?

Cantoria win37 %
Draw31 %
Motril win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Cantoria have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Motril have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Motril
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Arenas Armilla(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 31, 2026Arenas Armilla(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 24, 2026Churriana Vega(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 17, 2026Churriana Vega(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 10, 2026Atlético Porcuna(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Motril3418115552965

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cantoria vs Motril?
The Footlab model makes Cantoria the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Motril.
Where and when is Cantoria vs Motril played?
Cantoria vs Motril is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cantoria and Motril

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