Alhaurino vs Málaga II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, Alhaurín el Grande
The Footlab AI model makes Málaga II the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Alhaurino. The most likely score is 1-1. If Málaga II wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,215 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alhaurino vs Málaga II?
Málaga II starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,792 vs 1,667).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alhaurino vs Málaga II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alhaurino
4-3-3- AAlejandro Guerrero Martín
- II. Ndiaye
- DDiogo Rodrigues de Sousa
- MMiguel Ángel Lupiáñez Gómez
- VVíctor Rueda Pérez
- MManuel González Mora
- DDavid Sánchez Molina
- RRaúl Fernández Ortega
- FFran Moreno
- AAlejandro Jiménez Rios
- JJosé Manuel Pérez García
Málaga II
4-3-3- JJuani
- JJuanma Hernández
- RRubén Sánchez
- 32Rafael Garrido
- 44Jesús Martin
- AAlejandro Valcarce
- 38Pablo Arriaza
- 32Miguel Ángel
- IIván Benito Mancera
- ÁÁngel Mateo
- 30Andrés Céspedes
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 08:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alhaurino have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Málaga II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Melilla(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Motril(away) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almería II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Alhaurino wins, 1 draw, 3 Málaga II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2022 | Alhaurino 0-1 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Málaga II 1-1 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Málaga II 3-1 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Alhaurino 2-3 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Alhaurino vs Málaga II on Feb 6, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Alhaurino score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Málaga II score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alhaurino | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Málaga II | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alhaurino sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (9 points from 10 matches) and Málaga II sit 6th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Málaga II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 15 |
| 14 | Alhaurino | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 9 |
A question about Alhaurino vs Málaga II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alhaurino vs Málaga II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Málaga II the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Alhaurino.
- Where and when is Alhaurino vs Málaga II played?
- Alhaurino vs Málaga II is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.