Alhaurino vs Málaga II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, Alhaurín el Grande
The Footlab model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Málaga II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alhaurino vs Málaga II?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Alhaurino (1,706) and Málaga II (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alhaurino have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Málaga II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Torreperogil(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Melilla(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Antoniano(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Alhaurino win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Málaga II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2022 | Alhaurino 0-1 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Málaga II 1-1 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Málaga II 3-1 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Alhaurino 2-3 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Alhaurino vs Málaga II on Feb 6, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Alhaurino score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Málaga II score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alhaurino | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Málaga II | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alhaurino vs Málaga II?
- The Footlab model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Málaga II.
- Where and when is Alhaurino vs Málaga II played?
- Alhaurino vs Málaga II is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.