Torre del Mar vs Almería II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, Torre del Mar
The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Almería II. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torre del Mar vs Almería II?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Torre del Mar (1,803) and Almería II (1,755).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torre del Mar have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Almería II have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 17, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 10, 2026 | Torreperogil(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Motril(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 3-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Torre del Mar win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Almería II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Almería II 1-0 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Torre del Mar 0-3 Almería II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Almería II 1-0 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Torre del Mar 4-1 Almería II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Torre del Mar 1-0 Almería II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 8, 2021 | Almería II 1-0 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Almería II vs Torre del Mar on May 12, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Almería II score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torre del Mar | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Almería II | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 26 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torre del Mar vs Almería II?
- The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Almería II.
- Where and when is Torre del Mar vs Almería II played?
- Torre del Mar vs Almería II is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.