Arenas Armilla vs Marbelli: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal, Armilla
The Footlab AI model makes Arenas Armilla the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Marbelli. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,445 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arenas Armilla vs Marbelli?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Arenas Armilla (1,828) and Marbelli (1,776).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arenas Armilla vs Marbelli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arenas Armilla
Not enough data to predict the Arenas Armilla lineup.
Marbelli
Not enough data to predict the Marbelli lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Armilla have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Marbelli have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | UD San Pedro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alhaurino(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Malaga City(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Torre del Mar(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Arenas Armilla wins, 1 draw, 1 Marbelli win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Arenas Armilla 2-1 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Marbelli 1-0 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 4, 2025 | Marbelli 1-1 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Arenas Armilla 1-0 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Arenas Armilla vs Marbelli on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arenas Armilla score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marbelli score 1.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arenas Armilla | 1.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Marbelli | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arenas Armilla sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (18 points from 8 matches) and Marbelli sit 7th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arenas Armilla | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 18 |
| 7 | Marbelli | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
A question about Arenas Armilla vs Marbelli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arenas Armilla vs Marbelli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arenas Armilla the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Marbelli.
- Where and when is Arenas Armilla vs Marbelli played?
- Arenas Armilla vs Marbelli is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.