Aliağa FAŞ vs Adana Demirspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, Aliağa
The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Adana Demirspor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aliağa FAŞ vs Adana Demirspor?
Aliağa FAŞ is a heavy favourite: 1,806 Elo points against 1,463, a 344-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aliağa FAŞ have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Adana Demirspor have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 5-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | İstanbulspor(away) | 1-8 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(home) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 0-6 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 1-6 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Adana Demirspor score 0.5 and concede 4.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliağa FAŞ | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Adana Demirspor | 0.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aliağa FAŞ | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 81 | 32 | 69 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aliağa FAŞ vs Adana Demirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Adana Demirspor.
- Where and when is Aliağa FAŞ vs Adana Demirspor played?
- Aliağa FAŞ vs Adana Demirspor is played on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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