Match

Aliağa FAŞ vs Adana Demirspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, Aliağa

Aliağa FAŞAdana Demirspor

The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Adana Demirspor. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aliağa FAŞ vs Adana Demirspor?

Aliağa FAŞ is a heavy favourite: 1,806 Elo points against 1,463, a 344-point gap.

Aliağa FAŞ win72 %
Draw17 %
Adana Demirspor win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aliağa FAŞ have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Adana Demirspor have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aliağa FAŞ
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 4, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)0-02. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Bursaspor(home)0-52. Lig
Apr 19, 202668 Aksaray Belediyespor(away)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Menemen FK(home)5-02. Lig
Adana Demirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026İstanbulspor(away)1-81. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Ümraniyespor(home)1-31. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Boluspor(away)0-61. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Iğdır FK(home)1-61. Lig
Apr 7, 2026Hatayspor(away)0-41. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Adana Demirspor score 0.5 and concede 4.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aliağa FAŞ2.11.758/1511/15
Adana Demirspor0.54.506/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Aliağa FAŞ342167813269

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aliağa FAŞ vs Adana Demirspor?
The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Adana Demirspor.
Where and when is Aliağa FAŞ vs Adana Demirspor played?
Aliağa FAŞ vs Adana Demirspor is played on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Aliağa FAŞ and Adana Demirspor

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