Where and when is Erbaaspor vs Kastamonuspor played?

Erbaaspor vs Kastamonuspor is played on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Erbaaspor vs Kastamonuspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, Erbaa

Erbaaspor

Kastamonuspor

The Footlab model makes Erbaaspor the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erbaaspor vs Kastamonuspor?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Erbaaspor (1,611) and Kastamonuspor (1,663).

Erbaaspor win38 %

Draw26 %

Kastamonuspor win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbaaspor have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Kastamonuspor have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erbaaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)	1-3	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Ankaragücü(home)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Elazığspor(away)	0-3	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Adana 01 FK(home)	0-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	24 Erzincanspor(away)	2-3	2. Lig

Kastamonuspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Muğlaspor(home)	0-3	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Şanlıurfaspor(away)	2-5	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Karaman FK(home)	2-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Karacabey Belediyespor(away)	0-4	2. Lig
Mar 29, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(home)	1-2	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Erbaaspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kastamonuspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2026	Kastamonuspor 1-1 Erbaaspor	2. Lig
Sep 28, 2025	Erbaaspor 2-3 Kastamonuspor	2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Kastamonuspor vs Erbaaspor on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Erbaaspor	0.9	1.5	3	9/15	7/15
Kastamonuspor	0.7	1.8	2	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Erbaaspor sit 15th in 2. Lig (34 points from 36 matches) and Kastamonuspor sit 12th (42 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Kastamonuspor	36	11	9	16	44	56	42
15	Erbaaspor	36	10	7	19	40	61	34

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erbaaspor vs Kastamonuspor?: The Footlab model makes Erbaaspor the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Kastamonuspor.
Where and when is Erbaaspor vs Kastamonuspor played?: Erbaaspor vs Kastamonuspor is played on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.