Elazığspor vs Somaspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, Elazığ
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Somaspor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elazığspor vs Somaspor?
Elazığspor is a heavy favourite: 1,891 Elo points against 1,548, a 344-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elazığspor have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Somaspor have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 4-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | İskenderunspor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home) | 2-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 1-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Menemen FK(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Kırklarelispor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Elazığspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Somaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | Elazığspor 2-0 Somaspor | 2. Lig |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Somaspor 3-4 Elazığspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Elazığspor vs Somaspor on Mar 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Somaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elazığspor | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Somaspor | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elazığspor sit 3rd in 2. Lig (69 points from 36 matches) and Somaspor sit 15th (30 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Elazığspor | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 82 | 37 | 69 |
| 15 | Somaspor | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 68 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elazığspor vs Somaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Somaspor.
- Where and when is Elazığspor vs Somaspor played?
- Elazığspor vs Somaspor is played on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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