Alianza vs Isidro Metapán: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 17Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
The Footlab model makes Alianza the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Isidro Metapán. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alianza vs Isidro Metapán?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Alianza (1,707) and Isidro Metapán (1,642).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alianza have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Isidro Metapán have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 20, 2026 | CD Marathon(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cacahuatique(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Estelí(away) | 1-3 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Alianza(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Águila(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FAS(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alianza win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Isidro Metapán win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Isidro Metapán 2-0 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Isidro Metapán 1-1 Alianza | Copa Presidente |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Alianza 3-1 Isidro Metapán | Copa Presidente |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Isidro Metapán 0-0 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Alianza 2-1 Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Isidro Metapán 1-0 Alianza | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Isidro Metapán vs Alianza on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alianza score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Isidro Metapán score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Isidro Metapán | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alianza sit 10th in Primera Division (4 points from 4 matches) and Isidro Metapán sit 1st (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapán | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 | Alianza | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alianza vs Isidro Metapán?
- The Footlab model makes Alianza the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Isidro Metapán.
- Where and when is Alianza vs Isidro Metapán played?
- Alianza vs Isidro Metapán is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Cuscatlán, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.