Águila vs FAS: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 17Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza, San Miguel
The Footlab AI model makes FAS the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Águila. The most likely score is 1-1. If FAS wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Águila vs FAS?
On Elo ratings, Águila has 1,670 points and FAS 1,762.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Águila vs FAS
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Águila
Not enough data to predict the Águila lineup.
FAS
4-3-3- 7R. Tejada
- 11Cesar Diaz
- 13E. Medrano
- 20Yan Maciel
- 8J. Nolasco
- 5J. Portillo
- 28R. Clavel
- 29J. Cruz
- 16Juan Vega
- 3M. Valencia
- 1K. Carabantes
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águila have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; FAS have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(home) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cacahuatique(home) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Platense(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Alianza(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(away) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Águila win, 1 draw, 4 FAS wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FAS 1-0 Águila | Primera Division |
| May 24, 2026 | Águila 0-3 FAS | Primera Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Águila 3-0 FAS | Primera Division |
| Feb 1, 2026 | FAS 3-0 Águila | Primera Division |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Águila 1-1 FAS | Primera Division |
| Aug 3, 2025 | FAS 1-0 Águila | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Águila score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FAS score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águila | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FAS | 1.5 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Águila sit 4th in Primera Division (23 points from 15 matches) and FAS sit 2nd (30 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FAS | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | Águila | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 23 |
A question about Águila vs FAS?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Águila vs FAS?
- The Footlab AI model makes FAS the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Águila.
- Where and when is Águila vs FAS played?
- Águila vs FAS is played on October 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.