Águila vs FAS: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 17Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza, San Miguel
The Footlab model makes FAS the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Águila. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Águila vs FAS?
FAS starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,793 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águila have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; FAS have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FAS(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(home) | 2-4 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Águila(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Municipal(home) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Platense(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Verdes(home) | 4-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Águila win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FAS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FAS 1-0 Águila | Primera Division |
| May 24, 2026 | Águila 0-3 FAS | Primera Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Águila 3-0 FAS | Primera Division |
| Feb 1, 2026 | FAS 3-0 Águila | Primera Division |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Águila 1-1 FAS | Primera Division |
| Aug 3, 2025 | FAS 1-0 Águila | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Águila score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FAS score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águila | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| FAS | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Águila sit 11th in Primera Division (3 points from 6 matches) and FAS sit 3rd (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FAS | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 11 | Águila | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Águila vs FAS?
- The Footlab model makes FAS the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Águila.
- Where and when is Águila vs FAS played?
- Águila vs FAS is played on October 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.