Platense vs Firpo: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 17Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Toledo Valle, Zacatecoluca
The Footlab model makes Firpo the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Platense. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Platense vs Firpo?
Firpo starts as the favourite with a 256-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,563).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Platense have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Firpo have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FAS(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Platense(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 21, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inca Aruba(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Diriangén(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Platense win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Firpo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Firpo 1-0 Platense | Primera Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Platense 0-1 Firpo | Primera Division |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Firpo 3-1 Platense | Primera Division |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Firpo 6-2 Platense | Primera Division |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Platense 0-2 Firpo | Primera Division |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Platense 1-3 Firpo | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Platense score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Firpo score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platense | 1.0 | 0.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 2/15 |
| Firpo | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Platense sit 6th in Primera Division (8 points from 5 matches) and Firpo sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Firpo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Platense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Platense vs Firpo?
- The Footlab model makes Firpo the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Platense.
- Where and when is Platense vs Firpo played?
- Platense vs Firpo is played on October 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Toledo Valle, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.