Platense vs Firpo: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 17Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Toledo Valle, Zacatecoluca
The Footlab AI model makes Firpo the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Platense. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Platense vs Firpo?
Firpo starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,742 vs 1,518).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Platense vs Firpo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Platense
Not enough data to predict the Platense lineup.
Firpo
4-4-1-1- 7L. S. Vasquez Velasquez
- 17M. Cerritos
- 26M. Mercado
- 10V. García
- 28R. Águila
- 27D. Ortez
- 24J. Jimenez
- 3W. Y. Arizala Dajomes
- 6E. Vigil
- 2M. Cornejo
- 25F. Amaya
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Platense have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Firpo have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | FAS(away) | 3-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inca Aruba(away) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Alianza(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(away) | 3-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alianza(away) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(away) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Águila(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Platense wins, 0 draws, 6 Firpo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Firpo 1-0 Platense | Primera Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Platense 0-1 Firpo | Primera Division |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Firpo 3-1 Platense | Primera Division |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Firpo 6-2 Platense | Primera Division |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Platense 0-2 Firpo | Primera Division |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Platense 1-3 Firpo | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Platense score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Firpo score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platense | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Firpo | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Platense sit 8th in Primera Division (19 points from 15 matches) and Firpo sit 1st (31 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Firpo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 31 |
| 8 | Platense | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
A question about Platense vs Firpo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Platense vs Firpo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Firpo the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Platense.
- Where and when is Platense vs Firpo played?
- Platense vs Firpo is played on October 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Toledo Valle, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.