Match

Almazán vs Colegios Diocesanos: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, Almazán

AlmazánColegios Diocesanos

The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Colegios Diocesanos. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almazán vs Colegios Diocesanos?

Almazán starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,765 vs 1,592).

Almazán win69 %
Draw19 %
Colegios Diocesanos win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almazán have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Colegios Diocesanos have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almazán
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026UD Santa Marta(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2026La Virgen del Camino(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Atlético Mansillés(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026Atlético Mansillés(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Cristo Atlético(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Villaralbo(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026Mirandés II(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026Unionistas II(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 12, 2026Guijuelo(away)0-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Almazán win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Colegios Diocesanos win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Colegios Diocesanos 1-0 AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 9, 2025Almazán 0-2 Colegios DiocesanosTercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 5, 2024Almazán 1-1 Colegios DiocesanosTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 13, 2024Colegios Diocesanos 1-0 AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 27, 2022Almazán 1-0 Colegios DiocesanosTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 13, 2021Colegios Diocesanos 2-1 AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Colegios Diocesanos vs Almazán on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almazán score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Colegios Diocesanos score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Almazán1.70.947/157/15
Colegios Diocesanos1.02.138/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almazán sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (48 points from 34 matches) and Colegios Diocesanos sit 13th (36 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Almazán34121210493848
13Colegios Diocesanos3410618335436

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almazán vs Colegios Diocesanos?
The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Colegios Diocesanos.
Where and when is Almazán vs Colegios Diocesanos played?
Almazán vs Colegios Diocesanos is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Almazán and Colegios Diocesanos

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