Where and when is Burgos Promesas vs Cultural Leonesa II played?

Burgos Promesas vs Cultural Leonesa II is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Burgos Promesas vs Cultural Leonesa II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, Burgos

Burgos Promesas

Cultural Leonesa II

The Footlab model makes Burgos Promesas the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Cultural Leonesa II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Burgos Promesas vs Cultural Leonesa II?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Burgos Promesas (1,818) and Cultural Leonesa II (1,745).

Burgos Promesas win52 %

Draw27 %

Cultural Leonesa II win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgos Promesas have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cultural Leonesa II have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Burgos Promesas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Salamanca UDS(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2026	Atlético Astorga(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Coruxo(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Cultural Leonesa II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Atlético Mansillés(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026	Numancia II(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Cristo Atlético(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Burgos Promesas win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Cultural Leonesa II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 26, 2025	Burgos Promesas 1-3 Cultural Leonesa II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 14, 2024	Cultural Leonesa II 2-1 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 20, 2024	Burgos Promesas 0-2 Cultural Leonesa II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 2, 2023	Cultural Leonesa II 0-1 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 9, 2021	Burgos Promesas 1-0 Cultural Leonesa II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 17, 2021	Cultural Leonesa II 0-1 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Burgos Promesas vs Cultural Leonesa II on Jan 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Burgos Promesas score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cultural Leonesa II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Burgos Promesas	1.0	1.5	5	7/15	6/15
Cultural Leonesa II	1.3	1.5	5	5/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Cultural Leonesa II	34	12	6	16	38	43	42

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Burgos Promesas vs Cultural Leonesa II?: The Footlab model makes Burgos Promesas the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Cultural Leonesa II.
Where and when is Burgos Promesas vs Cultural Leonesa II played?: Burgos Promesas vs Cultural Leonesa II is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.