Match

Colegios Diocesanos vs Almazán: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol de Sancti Spiritu A, Ávila

Colegios DiocesanosAlmazán

The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Colegios Diocesanos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Colegios Diocesanos vs Almazán?

Almazán starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,588).

Colegios Diocesanos win23 %
Draw24 %
Almazán win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colegios Diocesanos have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Almazán have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Colegios Diocesanos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Cristo Atlético(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Villaralbo(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026Mirandés II(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026Unionistas II(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 12, 2026Guijuelo(away)0-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Almazán
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026UD Santa Marta(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2026La Virgen del Camino(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Atlético Mansillés(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026Atlético Mansillés(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Colegios Diocesanos win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Almazán win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Colegios Diocesanos 1-0 AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 9, 2025Almazán 0-2 Colegios DiocesanosTercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 5, 2024Almazán 1-1 Colegios DiocesanosTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 13, 2024Colegios Diocesanos 1-0 AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 27, 2022Almazán 1-0 Colegios DiocesanosTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 13, 2021Colegios Diocesanos 2-1 AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Colegios Diocesanos vs Almazán on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Colegios Diocesanos score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Almazán score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Colegios Diocesanos1.02.138/1510/15
Almazán1.70.947/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Colegios Diocesanos sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (36 points from 34 matches) and Almazán sit 7th (48 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Almazán34121210493848
13Colegios Diocesanos3410618335436

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Colegios Diocesanos vs Almazán?
The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Colegios Diocesanos.
Where and when is Colegios Diocesanos vs Almazán played?
Colegios Diocesanos vs Almazán is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol de Sancti Spiritu A, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Colegios Diocesanos and Almazán

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