Where and when is Almazán vs Villaralbo played?

Almazán vs Villaralbo is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Almazán vs Villaralbo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, Almazán

Almazán

Villaralbo

The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Villaralbo. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almazán vs Villaralbo?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Almazán (1,761) and Villaralbo (1,724).

Almazán win54 %

Draw26 %

Villaralbo win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almazán have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Villaralbo have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almazán
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	UD Santa Marta(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2026	La Virgen del Camino(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Atlético Mansillés(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026	Atlético Mansillés(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Villaralbo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Mirandés II(away)	2-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Colegios Diocesanos(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Unionistas II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	Cultural Leonesa II(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Almazán win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Villaralbo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Almazán 2-1 Villaralbo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 15, 2025	Villaralbo 0-0 Almazán	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 11, 2025	Villaralbo 3-0 Almazán	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 12, 2025	Almazán 2-1 Villaralbo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 16, 2024	Villaralbo 0-0 Almazán	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 29, 2023	Almazán 1-0 Villaralbo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Almazán vs Villaralbo on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almazán score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Villaralbo score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Almazán	1.7	0.9	4	7/15	7/15
Villaralbo	1.1	1.2	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almazán sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (48 points from 34 matches) and Villaralbo sit 11th (42 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Almazán	34	12	12	10	49	38	48
11	Villaralbo	34	11	9	14	29	37	42

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almazán vs Villaralbo?: The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Villaralbo.
Where and when is Almazán vs Villaralbo played?: Almazán vs Villaralbo is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.