Where and when is Bembibre vs Atlético Mansillés played?

Bembibre vs Atlético Mansillés is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bembibre vs Atlético Mansillés: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, Bembibre

Bembibre

Atlético Mansillés

The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bembibre vs Atlético Mansillés?

Atlético Mansillés starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,781 vs 1,653).

Bembibre win32 %

Draw30 %

Atlético Mansillés win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bembibre have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Atlético Mansillés have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bembibre
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Palencia CF(away)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Becerril Campos(home)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Arandina(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Mirandés II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	UD Santa Marta(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Atlético Mansillés
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cultural Leonesa II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Mojados(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Almazán(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026	Almazán(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Bembibre win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Atlético Mansillés win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Bembibre 1-1 Atlético Mansillés	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 15, 2025	Atlético Mansillés 1-0 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 9, 2025	Bembibre 0-0 Atlético Mansillés	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 23, 2024	Atlético Mansillés 3-1 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Bembibre vs Atlético Mansillés on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bembibre score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bembibre	1.3	1.6	5	9/15	8/15
Atlético Mansillés	0.9	0.9	7	5/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bembibre sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (34 points from 34 matches) and Atlético Mansillés sit 6th (57 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Atlético Mansillés	34	15	12	7	31	27	57
14	Bembibre	34	8	10	16	38	52	34

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bembibre vs Atlético Mansillés?: The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Bembibre.
Where and when is Bembibre vs Atlético Mansillés played?: Bembibre vs Atlético Mansillés is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.