Almere City II vs Spakenburg: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Yanmar Stadion, Almere
The Footlab model makes Almere City II the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Spakenburg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almere City II vs Spakenburg?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Almere City II (1,922) and Spakenburg (1,936).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almere City II have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Spakenburg have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HHC(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(home) | 4-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(home) | 5-4 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-0 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Almere City II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Spakenburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Spakenburg 1-0 Almere City II | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Almere City II 4-2 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| May 17, 2025 | Almere City II 3-1 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Spakenburg 2-0 Almere City II | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Almere City II 2-2 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Spakenburg 4-3 Almere City II | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Spakenburg vs Almere City II on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Almere City II score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City II | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Spakenburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almere City II sit 7th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Spakenburg sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Almere City II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almere City II vs Spakenburg?
- The Footlab model makes Almere City II the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Spakenburg.
- Where and when is Almere City II vs Spakenburg played?
- Almere City II vs Spakenburg is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Yanmar Stadion, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.