Sparta Rotterdam II vs Katwijk: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Dijkpolder, Maassluis
The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam II the favourite at 53%, against 20% for a draw and 27% for Katwijk. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam II vs Katwijk?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Sparta Rotterdam II (1,874) and Katwijk (1,903).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Rotterdam II have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Katwijk have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(away) | 6-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 6-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Groningen U21(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 4-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 4-0 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sparta Rotterdam II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Katwijk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Katwijk 4-1 Sparta Rotterdam II | Tweede Divisie |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam II 2-2 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam II 1-1 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Katwijk 2-4 Sparta Rotterdam II | Tweede Divisie |
| May 4, 2024 | Katwijk 3-4 Sparta Rotterdam II | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Sparta Rotterdam II 0-2 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Katwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam II on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Rotterdam II score 2.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Katwijk score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam II | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Katwijk | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Rotterdam II sit 1st in Tweede Divisie (6 points from 2 matches) and Katwijk sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 | Katwijk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Rotterdam II vs Katwijk?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam II the favourite at 53%, against 20% for a draw and 27% for Katwijk.
- Where and when is Sparta Rotterdam II vs Katwijk played?
- Sparta Rotterdam II vs Katwijk is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Dijkpolder, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.