Almería II vs Alhaurino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, Almería
The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Alhaurino. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almería II vs Alhaurino?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Almería II (1,755) and Alhaurino (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almería II have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Alhaurino have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 3-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Torreperogil(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Almería II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Alhaurino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2022 | Alhaurino 2-1 Almería II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Almería II 2-1 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Alhaurino vs Almería II on Jan 26, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Almería II score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alhaurino score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almería II | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Alhaurino | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almería II vs Alhaurino?
- The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Alhaurino.
- Where and when is Almería II vs Alhaurino played?
- Almería II vs Alhaurino is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 13, 2026MotrilvsTorre del Mar
- Sep 13, 2026Málaga IIvsAtlético Porcuna
- Sep 13, 2026Arenas ArmillavsMancha Real
- Sep 13, 2026MarbellivsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Sep 13, 2026Churriana VegavsMalaga City
- Sep 13, 2026CantoriavsAtletico de Marbella