Where and when is Málaga II vs Atlético Porcuna played?

Málaga II vs Atlético Porcuna is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Málaga II vs Atlético Porcuna: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, Málaga

Málaga II

Atlético Porcuna

The Footlab model makes Málaga II the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Atlético Porcuna. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Málaga II vs Atlético Porcuna?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Málaga II (1,779) and Atlético Porcuna (1,716).

Málaga II win50 %

Draw28 %

Atlético Porcuna win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Málaga II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Atlético Porcuna have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Málaga II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Melilla(home)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Puente Genil(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026	Antoniano(home)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Ucam Murcia(away)	0-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026	Real Jaén(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Atlético Porcuna
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Motril(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Torre del Mar(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 25, 2026	El Palo(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	UD San Pedro(home)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026	Alhaurino(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Málaga II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Atlético Porcuna win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 2, 2025	Málaga II 6-0 Atlético Porcuna	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 20, 2024	Atlético Porcuna 2-2 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Jan 8, 2023	Málaga II 1-1 Atlético Porcuna	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 11, 2022	Atlético Porcuna 2-1 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Jan 16, 2022	Málaga II 1-3 Atlético Porcuna	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 26, 2021	Atlético Porcuna 3-2 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Atlético Porcuna on Mar 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Málaga II score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Porcuna score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Málaga II	1.3	2.3	0	13/15	13/15
Atlético Porcuna	1.2	1.2	5	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Atlético Porcuna	34	14	4	16	41	39	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Málaga II vs Atlético Porcuna?: The Footlab model makes Málaga II the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Atlético Porcuna.
Where and when is Málaga II vs Atlético Porcuna played?: Málaga II vs Atlético Porcuna is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.