Where and when is Marbelli vs Almería II played?

Marbelli vs Almería II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marbelli vs Almería II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, San Pedro de Alcántara

Marbelli

Almería II

The Footlab model makes Marbelli the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Almería II. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marbelli vs Almería II?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Marbelli (1,773) and Almería II (1,751).

Marbelli win49 %

Draw29 %

Almería II win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbelli have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Almería II have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marbelli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Granada II(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Huétor Vega(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Huétor Tájar(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 11, 2026	UD Melilla II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Almería II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Águilas(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Deportiva Minera(home)	3-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Yeclano(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 11, 2026	Estepona(home)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Lorca Deportiva(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Marbelli score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Almería II score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marbelli	0.9	0.7	7	6/15	4/15
Almería II	0.9	1.7	0	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Marbelli	34	14	9	11	36	28	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marbelli vs Almería II?: The Footlab model makes Marbelli the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Almería II.
Where and when is Marbelli vs Almería II played?: Marbelli vs Almería II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.