Marbelli vs Almería II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, San Pedro de Alcántara
The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Almería II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marbelli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,316 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marbelli vs Almería II?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Marbelli (1,733) and Almería II (1,764).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marbelli vs Almería II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marbelli
Not enough data to predict the Marbelli lineup.
Almería II
4-3-3- 7Luis Lara
- 35Lorenzo Sánchez
- MMarçal Casadevall Sánchez
- 37Joan Gázquez Llanes
- 21Antonio Jesús
- HHugo Martin
- RRené Pérez
- 26Paco Sanz
- 29Nacho Vila
- EEdu Pla
- 31Bruno Iribarne
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 08:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbelli have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Almería II have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Málaga II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Motril(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Málaga II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marbelli score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Almería II score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbelli | 0.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Almería II | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marbelli sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (15 points from 9 matches) and Almería II sit 3rd (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Almería II | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | Marbelli | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
A question about Marbelli vs Almería II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marbelli vs Almería II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Almería II.
- Where and when is Marbelli vs Almería II played?
- Marbelli vs Almería II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026MelillavsChurriana Vega
- Nov 22, 2026Ciudad de TorredonjimenovsCantoria
- Nov 22, 2026Huétor VegavsAtlético Porcuna
- Nov 22, 2026Mancha RealvsMálaga II
- Nov 22, 2026MotrilvsAtletico de Marbella
- Nov 22, 2026Torre del MarvsUD San Pedro
- Nov 22, 2026Arenas ArmillavsGranada II
- Nov 22, 2026Malaga CityvsAlhaurino