Where and when is Alta vs Greenville Triumph played?

Alta vs Greenville Triumph is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Lancaster Municipal Stadium, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alta vs Greenville Triumph: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Lancaster Municipal Stadium, Lancaster, California

Alta

Greenville Triumph

The Footlab model makes Alta the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Greenville Triumph. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alta vs Greenville Triumph?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Alta (1,678) and Greenville Triumph (1,622).

Alta win61 %

Draw24 %

Greenville Triumph win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alta have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Greenville Triumph have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Naples(home)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	NY Cosmos(away)	0-1	USL League One
Aug 9, 2026	Fort Wayne(home)	3-0	USL League One
Aug 5, 2026	Naples(away)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Richmond Kickers(away)	2-3	USL League One

Greenville Triumph
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Spokane Velocity(away)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	One Knoxville(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 13, 2026	Forward Madison(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Charlotte Independence(away)	0-1	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(home)	3-3	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Alta win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Greenville Triumph win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	Greenville Triumph 1-2 Alta	USL League One
Aug 17, 2025	Alta 1-1 Greenville Triumph	USL League One
May 17, 2025	Greenville Triumph 2-2 Alta	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Greenville Triumph vs Alta on Jun 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alta score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Greenville Triumph score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alta	1.3	1.2	4	9/15	9/15
Greenville Triumph	1.1	1.6	2	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alta sit 8th in USL League One (32 points from 24 matches) and Greenville Triumph sit 15th (20 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Alta	24	8	8	8	33	29	32
15	Greenville Triumph	21	5	5	11	23	35	20

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alta vs Greenville Triumph?: The Footlab model makes Alta the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Greenville Triumph.
Where and when is Alta vs Greenville Triumph played?: Alta vs Greenville Triumph is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Lancaster Municipal Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.