Where and when is Altay vs Ayvalikgucu played?

Altay vs Ayvalikgucu is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Altay vs Ayvalikgucu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir

Altay

Ayvalikgucu

The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Altay. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Altay vs Ayvalikgucu?

Ayvalikgucu starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,485).

Altay win20 %

Draw28 %

Ayvalikgucu win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altay have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ayvalikgucu have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Altay
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Afjet Afyonspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	İzmir Çoruhlu FK(home)	1-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026	Anadolu Üniversitesi(away)	0-3	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026	Alanya 1221 FK(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 15, 2026	Balıkesirspor(away)	0-3	3. Lig - Group 4

Ayvalikgucu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(home)	1-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026	Eskişehirspor(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026	Eskişehirspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 28, 2026	Karsiyaka(away)	2-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Karsiyaka(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Altay win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ayvalikgucu win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 17, 2026	Ayvalikgucu 4-0 Altay	3. Lig - Group 4
Sep 13, 2025	Altay 0-0 Ayvalikgucu	3. Lig - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Ayvalikgucu vs Altay on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Altay score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Altay	0.8	1.7	4	6/15	8/15
Ayvalikgucu	1.4	0.8	6	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Altay vs Ayvalikgucu?: The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Altay.
Where and when is Altay vs Ayvalikgucu played?: Altay vs Ayvalikgucu is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.