Balıkesirspor vs Karsiyaka: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Balıkesir Atatürk Stadyumu, Balıkesir
The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 35%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Balıkesirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balıkesirspor vs Karsiyaka?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Balıkesirspor (1,664) and Karsiyaka (1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balıkesirspor have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Karsiyaka have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bornova 1877(away) | 4-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Denizli İYG(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tire 2021 FK(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Söke 1970(home) | 5-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Bornova 1877(away) | 5-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Balıkesirspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Karsiyaka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Balıkesirspor 2-1 Karsiyaka | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Karsiyaka 2-1 Balıkesirspor | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Karsiyaka 1-0 Balıkesirspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Balıkesirspor 0-0 Karsiyaka | 1. Lig |
| Apr 13, 2014 | Karsiyaka 3-1 Balıkesirspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 8, 2013 | Balıkesirspor 4-1 Karsiyaka | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Balıkesirspor vs Karsiyaka on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Balıkesirspor score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Karsiyaka score 2.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balıkesirspor | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Karsiyaka | 2.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balıkesirspor vs Karsiyaka?
- The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 35%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Balıkesirspor.
- Where and when is Balıkesirspor vs Karsiyaka played?
- Balıkesirspor vs Karsiyaka is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Balıkesir Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026AltayvsAyvalikgucu
- Dec 13, 2026EskişehirsporvsNilüfer Belediye
- Dec 13, 2026Etimesgut SKvsSöke 1970
- Dec 13, 2026Uşak SporvsBucaspor 1928
- Dec 13, 2026AkşehirsporvsDenizli İYG
- Dec 13, 2026BigasporvsAlanya 1221 FK
- Dec 13, 2026Bursa YıldırımsporvsAnadolu Üniversitesi
- Dec 13, 2026Tire 2021 FKvsKepezspor