Where and when is Altay vs Bursa Yıldırımspor played?

Altay vs Bursa Yıldırımspor is played on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Altay vs Bursa Yıldırımspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir

Altay

Bursa Yıldırımspor

The Footlab model makes Altay the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Bursa Yıldırımspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Altay vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Altay (1,485) and Bursa Yıldırımspor (1,566).

Altay win36 %

Draw28 %

Bursa Yıldırımspor win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altay have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Bursa Yıldırımspor have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Altay
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Afjet Afyonspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	İzmir Çoruhlu FK(home)	1-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026	Anadolu Üniversitesi(away)	0-3	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026	Alanya 1221 FK(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 15, 2026	Balıkesirspor(away)	0-3	3. Lig - Group 4

Bursa Yıldırımspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2026	Çorluspor 1947(away)	1-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Çorluspor 1947(home)	2-3	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(away)	1-3	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Galata(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Beykoz İshaklıspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Altay win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bursa Yıldırımspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 2, 2025	Bursa Yıldırımspor 2-0 Altay	Türkiye Kupası

Last archived meeting: Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Altay on Sep 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Altay score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bursa Yıldırımspor score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Altay	0.8	1.7	4	6/15	8/15
Bursa Yıldırımspor	1.5	1.4	3	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Altay vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?: The Footlab model makes Altay the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Bursa Yıldırımspor.
Where and when is Altay vs Bursa Yıldırımspor played?: Altay vs Bursa Yıldırımspor is played on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.