Altay vs Bursa Yıldırımspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir
The Footlab AI model makes Bursa Yıldırımspor the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Altay. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bursa Yıldırımspor wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,140 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Altay vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
Bursa Yıldırımspor starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,649 vs 1,468).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Altay vs Bursa Yıldırımspor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Altay
Not enough data to predict the Altay lineup.
Bursa Yıldırımspor
4-3-3- 99M. Bektaş
- 7H. Öztürk
- 23E. Şentürk
- 10Erdal Kaya
- 8M. Bağlı
- 45K. Aras
- 5E. Karaoğlu
- 27A. Işık
- 4B. Büyükkaya
- 77A. Dursun
- 1Mertcan Babat
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 12:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altay have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Bursa Yıldırımspor have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Etimesgut SK(away) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Akşehirspor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(away) | 0-5 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 1-4 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Uşak Spor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Akşehirspor(away) | 3-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sakaryaspor(away) | 3-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 2-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Uşak Spor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Altay wins, 0 draws, 1 Bursa Yıldırımspor win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2025 | Bursa Yıldırımspor 2-0 Altay | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Altay on Sep 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Altay score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bursa Yıldırımspor score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altay | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Bursa Yıldırımspor | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Altay sit 11th in 3. Lig - Group 2 (10 points from 10 matches) and Bursa Yıldırımspor sit 6th (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bursa Yıldırımspor | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
| 11 | Altay | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 10 |
A question about Altay vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Altay vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bursa Yıldırımspor the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Altay.
- Where and when is Altay vs Bursa Yıldırımspor played?
- Altay vs Bursa Yıldırımspor is played on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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