Bigaspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Biga İlyas Bayram Stadyumu, Biga
The Footlab model makes Bigaspor the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Bursa Yıldırımspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bigaspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Bigaspor (1,547) and Bursa Yıldırımspor (1,566).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Bigaspor have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Bursa Yıldırımspor have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | Etimesgut SK(away) | 0-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Karsiyaka(away) | 1-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Bilecik 1969 Spor(home) | 0-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Sökespor(away) | 0-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 29, 2022 | Menemen FK(away) | 2-3 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Galata(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Beykoz İshaklıspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bigaspor score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 9; Bursa Yıldırımspor score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bigaspor | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 3/9 | 3/9 |
| Bursa Yıldırımspor | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bigaspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
- The Footlab model makes Bigaspor the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Bursa Yıldırımspor.
- Where and when is Bigaspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor played?
- Bigaspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Biga İlyas Bayram Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.